Skip to main content

Politics prediction markets

6,953 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 5,761-5,808 of 6,953 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

K 225.51 contracts
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Tamer S. Wassily in Wassily v. BlancheYes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
Missouri St. vs Delaware: Team Total

Missouri St. vs Delaware: Team Total

K 223.66 contracts
Missouri St. over 9.5 points scoredYes 87.5%
Missouri St. over 13.5 points scoredYes 86.5%
Delaware over 19.5 points scoredYes 77.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?

Will Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?

K 222.98 contracts
Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Montana 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 220.96 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana 01 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana 01 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana 01 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 83.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026?

USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026?

K 220.74 contracts
USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026? (Above $220 billion)Yes 95%
USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026? (Above $240 billion)Yes 84%
USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026? (Above $250 billion)Yes 70.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?

Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?

K 220.47 contracts
Will Democrats receive above 2% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 92.5%
Will Democrats receive above 3% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 85.5%
Will Democrats receive above 4% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 78.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina 01 House General Election: voter turnout

South Carolina 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 220.45 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in South Carolina 01 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in South Carolina 01 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 80.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in South Carolina 01 House General Election be above 290000?Yes 66.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sea Limited Shopee GMV in fiscal 2026

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in fiscal 2026

K 220 contracts
Will Sea Limited report Above $156 billion shopee gmv in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Sea Limited report Above $158 billion shopee gmv in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
Will Sea Limited report Above $160 billion shopee gmv in fiscal 2026?Yes 89.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Iowa 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 219.4 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa 04 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa 04 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa 04 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 84.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin 03 House General Election: voter turnout

Wisconsin 03 House General Election: voter turnout

K 218.26 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 03 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 03 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 03 House General Election be above 300000?Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Washington's 6th District margin of victory

Washington's 6th District margin of victory

K 218 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 6th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 6th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 87.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin 06 House General Election: voter turnout

Wisconsin 06 House General Election: voter turnout

K 217.7 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 06 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 06 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 84.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 06 House General Election be above 290000?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 11th District margin of victory

Ohio's 11th District margin of victory

K 217 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?Yes 95.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?Yes 86.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?Yes 77%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania 07 House General Election: voter turnout

Pennsylvania 07 House General Election: voter turnout

K 216.39 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 07 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 07 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 81.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 07 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WV-01 House election: Vince George vote percent

WV-01 House election: Vince George vote percent

K 215.68 contracts
Will Vince George receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 WV-01 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Vince George receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 WV-01 House election?Yes 86.5%
Will Vince George receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 WV-01 House election?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-08 House election: Paige Cognetti vote percent

PA-08 House election: Paige Cognetti vote percent

K 215.58 contracts
Will Paige Cognetti receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-08 House election?Yes 97%
Will Paige Cognetti receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-08 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Paige Cognetti receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-08 House election?Yes 89.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?

Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?

K 215 contracts
Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it?Yes 70%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-42 House election: Brian Burley vote percent

CA-42 House election: Brian Burley vote percent

K 214.84 contracts
Will Brian Burley receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-42 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Brian Burley receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-42 House election?Yes 77.5%
Will Brian Burley receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-42 House election?Yes 59.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland Governor General Election: voter turnout

Maryland Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 214.39 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland Governor General Election be above 1700000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland Governor General Election be above 1800000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland Governor General Election be above 1900000?Yes 81.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mississippi's 1st District margin of victory

Mississippi's 1st District margin of victory

K 213 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?

Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?

K 212.55 contracts
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Thomas Crowther et al. in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of GeorgiaYes 34.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-12 House election: Kimberly Overman vote percent

FL-12 House election: Kimberly Overman vote percent

K 212.16 contracts
Will Kimberly Overman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-12 House election?Yes 97%
Will Kimberly Overman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-12 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Kimberly Overman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-12 House election?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 8 AP Poll

College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 8 AP Poll

K 211.92 contracts
Will Duke be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 8 rankings?Yes 28%
Will Michigan be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 8 rankings?Yes 4.5%
Will Illinois be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 8 rankings?Yes 3%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-35 House election: Johnny Garcia vote percent

TX-35 House election: Johnny Garcia vote percent

K 211.71 contracts
Will Johnny Garcia receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-35 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Johnny Garcia receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-35 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Johnny Garcia receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-35 House election?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

K 211.38 contracts
Will the number of Washington State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 33 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Washington House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 66 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Vermont Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
+21 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?

Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?

K 210.88 contracts
Will Jimmy Blacklock win the 2026 Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice election?Yes 68%
Will Maggie Ellis win the 2026 Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice election?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
ACC: Receiving Yards Leader

ACC: Receiving Yards Leader

K 210.81 contracts
Mason Mini records the most receiving yards in the ACCYes 48.5%
Dawson Pough records the most receiving yards in the ACCYes 48.5%
Malachi Toney records the most receiving yards in the ACCYes 46%
+48 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma Lieutenant Governor winner?

Oklahoma Lieutenant Governor winner?

K 210.13 contracts
Will the Republican party win the Lt. Gov race in Oklahoma?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic party win the Lt. Gov race in Oklahoma?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-05 House election: Sean Kirrane vote percent

NJ-05 House election: Sean Kirrane vote percent

K 210 contracts
Will Sean Kirrane receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Sean Kirrane receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-05 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Sean Kirrane receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-05 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-04 House election: Jonny Larsen vote percent

UT-04 House election: Jonny Larsen vote percent

K 210 contracts
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 95%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 82.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Governor General Election: voter turnout

Rhode Island Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 209.18 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 270000?Yes 93%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 300000?Yes 82.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 330000?Yes 66.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
StubHub gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026

StubHub gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026

K 208 contracts
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $9.9 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $10 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $10.1 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

K 207.32 contracts
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 95%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 90.5%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-02 House election: Jen Kiggans vote percent

VA-02 House election: Jen Kiggans vote percent

K 207.01 contracts
Will Jen Kiggans receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Jen Kiggans receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?Yes 77.5%
Will Jen Kiggans receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?

When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?

K 207 contracts
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Feb 15, 2027?Yes 54.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?

K 207 contracts
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 40%
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 30.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?

Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?

K 206.92 contracts
Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
All-Rookie First Team Selections

All-Rookie First Team Selections

K 206.81 contracts
All-Rookie First Team Selection: Darius Acuff Jr.Yes 66.5%
All-Rookie First Team Selection: Yaxel LendeborgYes 61%
All-Rookie First Team Selection: Keaton WaglerYes 54.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

K 206.02 contracts
Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?

Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?

K 205.3 contracts
Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?Yes 32.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?

Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?

K 205 contracts
Will Republicans receive above 26% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 90.5%
Will Republicans receive above 28% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 82.5%
Will Republicans receive above 30% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 64.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?

Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?

K 205 contracts
Will Republicans receive above 26% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 90.5%
Will Republicans receive above 28% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 82.5%
Will Republicans receive above 30% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 65.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

K 205 contracts
Will the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service be at least 8 mph for December 2026?Yes 90%
Will the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service be at least 8.1 mph for December 2026?Yes 77%
Will the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service be at least 8.2 mph for December 2026?Yes 65%
+3 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts Secretary of State winner?

Massachusetts Secretary of State winner?

K 205 contracts
Will William Francis Galvin win the 2026 Massachusetts Secretary of State election?Yes 92%
Will Anne R. Brensley win the 2026 Massachusetts Secretary of State election?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-21 House election: Kyle Kirkland vote percent

CA-21 House election: Kyle Kirkland vote percent

K 205 contracts
Will Kyle Kirkland receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Kyle Kirkland receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?Yes 97%
Will Kyle Kirkland receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?Yes 95.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-27 House election: Jason Gibbs vote percent

CA-27 House election: Jason Gibbs vote percent

K 205 contracts
Will Jason Gibbs receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-27 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jason Gibbs receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-27 House election?Yes 97%
Will Jason Gibbs receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-27 House election?Yes 95%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-18 House election: Jacqueline Auringer vote percent

NY-18 House election: Jacqueline Auringer vote percent

K 205 contracts
Will Jacqueline Auringer receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-18 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jacqueline Auringer receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-18 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jacqueline Auringer receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-18 House election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-26 House election: Sam Gallucci vote percent

CA-26 House election: Sam Gallucci vote percent

K 205 contracts
Will Sam Gallucci receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-26 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Sam Gallucci receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-26 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Sam Gallucci receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-26 House election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC