Politics prediction markets
6,966 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 6,145-6,192 of 6,966 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Hsinchu City mayoral election winner?
K 10.92 contractsWill Ann Kao win the 2026 Hsinchu City mayoral election?Yes 87.5%
Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the 2026 Hsinchu City mayoral election?Yes 11.5%
Will Ho Chih-yung win the 2026 Hsinchu City mayoral election?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump visit the Federal Reserve this year?
K 10.53 contractsWill Donald Trump visit the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump make a recess appointment?
K 10.03 contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 16%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 11%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Nevada vote to require photo ID and mail-voter verification?
K 10.02 contractsWill Question 7 pass?Yes 91.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio 08 House General Election: voter turnout
K 10 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 08 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 08 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 08 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas 37 House General Election: voter turnout
K 10 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Texas 37 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 37 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 76.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 37 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 66.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the federal minimum wage be raised?
K 10 contractsWill the federal minimum wage be raised before 2030?Yes 34%
Will the federal minimum wage be raised before 2029?Yes 10%
Will the federal minimum wage be raised before 2028?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-07 House election: Nirav Sheth vote percent
K 10 contractsWill Nirav Sheth receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-07 House election?Yes 97%
Will Nirav Sheth receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-07 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Nirav Sheth receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-07 House election?Yes 65.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama Senate election: Everett Wess vote percent
K 10 contractsWill Everett Wess receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Everett Wess receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama Senate election?Yes 96%
Will Everett Wess receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama Senate election?Yes 89.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-09 House election: Daniel Biss vote percent
K 9.92 contractsWill Daniel Biss receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-09 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Daniel Biss receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-09 House election?Yes 78.5%
Will Daniel Biss receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-09 House election?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SD-AL House election: Nikki Gronli vote percent
K 9.47 contractsWill Nikki Gronli receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?Yes 97%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?Yes 84.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 9.18 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 270000?Yes 93%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 300000?Yes 80.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 330000?Yes 61.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-13 House election: Jeff Wilson vote percent
K 8.66 contractsWill Jeff Wilson receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-13 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Jeff Wilson receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-13 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Jeff Wilson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-13 House election?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?
K 8.57 contractsWill Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?Yes 70.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-31 House election: John Carter vote percent
K 8 contractsWill John Carter receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will John Carter receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?Yes 77.5%
Will John Carter receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?Yes 59.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grenada general election winner?
K 7.96 contractsWill NDC win the 2026 Grenadian general election?Yes 57.5%
Will NNP win the 2026 Grenadian general election?Yes 40.5%
Will DPM win the 2026 Grenadian general election?Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona State Treasurer winner?
K 7.5 contractsWill Elijah Norton win the 2026 Arizona State Treasurer general election?Yes 59.5%
Will Nick Mansour win the 2026 Arizona State Treasurer general election?Yes 40.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: Democratic share of white non-college vote?
K 7.33 contractsWill Democrats receive above 30% of the vote among white voters without a college degree in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 90%
Will Democrats receive above 32% of the vote among white voters without a college degree in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 77%
Will Democrats receive above 34% of the vote among white voters without a college degree in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 64%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NH-01 House election: Stefany Shaheen vote percent
K 7.29 contractsWill Stefany Shaheen receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Stefany Shaheen receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-01 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Stefany Shaheen receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-01 House election?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-22 House election: Marquette Greene-Scott vote percent
K 7.16 contractsWill Marquette Greene-Scott receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-22 House election?Yes 97%
Will Marquette Greene-Scott receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-22 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Marquette Greene-Scott receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-22 House election?Yes 84.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 6th District margin of victory
K 7 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 92.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 84%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California 45 House General Election: voter turnout
K 7 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 45 House General Election be above 120000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 45 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 45 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 69.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?
K 6.99 contractsWill the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?
K 6.99 contractsWill Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?Yes 65%
Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?Yes 35%
2 mktsNext deadline May 17, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-08 House election: Bernadette Greene-Placentia vote percent
K 6.97 contractsWill Bernadette Greene-Placentia receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-08 House election?Yes 96%
Will Bernadette Greene-Placentia receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-08 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Bernadette Greene-Placentia receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-08 House election?Yes 77%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?
K 6.89 contractsWill payment of the first $2,500 Respect Check installment to New York City public school paraprofessionals be confirmed before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-08 House election: Rob Bresnahan vote percent
K 6.81 contractsWill Rob Bresnahan receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-08 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Rob Bresnahan receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-08 House election?Yes 77.5%
Will Rob Bresnahan receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-08 House election?Yes 60.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?
K 6.6 contractsWill HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report be above 15000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027?Yes 90.5%
Will HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report be above 20000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report be above 25000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan 09 House General Election: voter turnout
K 6.41 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 09 House General Election be above 320000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 09 House General Election be above 340000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 09 House General Election be above 360000?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NE-02 House election: Denise Powell vote percent
K 6.37 contractsWill Denise Powell receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Denise Powell receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-02 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Denise Powell receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-02 House election?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
AFC Defensive Player of the Month in October
K 6.36 contractsAFC Defensive Player of the Month in October: Will Anderson Jr.Yes 54.5%
AFC Defensive Player of the Month in October: Zach SielerYes 47.5%
AFC Defensive Player of the Month in October: Zach AllenYes 47.5%
+72 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will HART push back Skyline's 2031 opening date?
K 6.28 contractsWill the Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation (HART) announce a revised date for the start of Skyline passenger service to Kaʻākaukukui (Civic Center) Station that falls later than March 31, 2031, or that station's indefinite deferral before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 59.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-01 House election: Jim Kingston vote percent (1st Round)
K 6.16 contractsWill Jim Kingston receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jim Kingston receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-01 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Jim Kingston receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-01 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Football: Top 5 Ranked Teams on Final AP Poll
K 6.01 contractsWill West Virginia be a top 5 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
Will Wisconsin be a top 5 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
Will Washington be a top 5 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
+72 moreNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 6 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee 01 House General Election be above 150000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee 01 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 81.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee 01 House General Election be above 193000?Yes 62.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Washington Supreme Court Position 3 winner?
K 6 contractsWill David Stevens win the 2026 Washington Supreme Court Justice Position 3 election?Yes 79.5%
Will Jaime Michelle Hawk win the 2026 Washington Supreme Court Justice Position 3 election?Yes 20%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 5.1 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 02 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 81.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 02 House General Election be above 300000?Yes 67.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor margin of victory
K 5 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alaska be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 15%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alaska be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alaska be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 7.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California's 49th District margin of victory
K 5 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 86.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 77%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado 04 House General Election: voter turnout
K 5 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Colorado 04 House General Election be above 290000?Yes 88.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Colorado 04 House General Election be above 310000?Yes 77.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Colorado 04 House General Election be above 340000?Yes 56.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-19 House election: Peter Oberacker vote percent
K 5 contractsWill Peter Oberacker receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-19 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Peter Oberacker receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-19 House election?Yes 81.5%
Will Peter Oberacker receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-19 House election?Yes 65.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KS-01 House election: Lauren Reinhold vote percent
K 5 contractsWill Lauren Reinhold receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 KS-01 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Lauren Reinhold receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 KS-01 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Lauren Reinhold receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 KS-01 House election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-14 House election: Tim Moore vote percent
K 5 contractsWill Tim Moore receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-14 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Tim Moore receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-14 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Tim Moore receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-14 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-03 House election: Herb Conaway vote percent
K 5 contractsWill Herb Conaway receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Herb Conaway receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Herb Conaway receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-11 House election: Nicole Malliotakis vote percent
K 5 contractsWill Nicole Malliotakis receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-11 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Nicole Malliotakis receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-11 House election?Yes 71.5%
Will Nicole Malliotakis receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-11 House election?Yes 52.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-15 House election: Jennifer Todd vote percent
K 4.71 contractsWill Jennifer Todd receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jennifer Todd receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Jennifer Todd receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois Secretary of State winner?
K 4.27 contractsWill Alexi Giannoulias win the 2026 Illinois Secretary of State election?Yes 89.5%
Will Diane M. Harris win the 2026 Illinois Secretary of State election?Yes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC