Politics prediction markets
6,997 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 6,673-6,720 of 6,997 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?
K 0 contractsWill Proposition C pass?Yes 74.5%
Will Proposition B pass?Yes 64.5%
Will Proposition A pass?Yes 64.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
K 0 contractsWill Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 12%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?Yes 10%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Nebraska vote to extend legislative term limits to 12 years?
K 0 contractsWill LR19CA pass?Yes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado State Senate winner?
K 0 contractsWho will win the Colorado Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the Colorado Senate? (Republican party)Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon State Senate winner?
K 0 contractsWho will win the Oregon Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the Oregon Senate? (Republican party)Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vermont State House winner?
K 0 contractsWho will win the Vermont House? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the Vermont House? (Republican party)Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington State House winner?
K 0 contractsWho will win the Washington House? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the Washington House? (Republican party)Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton by-election winner?
K 0 contractsWill the Bloc Québécois candidate win the Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton federal by-election?Yes 60%
Will the Liberal Party of Canada candidate win the Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton federal by-election?Yes 35%
Will the Conservative Party of Canada candidate win the Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton federal by-election?Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
K 0 contractsWill a bill capping federal student loan interest rates passed the House before Jan 3, 2027?Yes 11%
Will a bill capping federal student loan interest rates passed the House before Dec 12, 2026?Yes 8%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Summerside mayoral election winner?
K 0 contractsWill Cory Snow win the 2026 Summerside, Prince Edward Island mayoral election?Yes 54%
Will Basil Stewart win the 2026 Summerside, Prince Edward Island mayoral election?Yes 37%
Will Nathaniel Lykow win the 2026 Summerside, Prince Edward Island mayoral election?Yes 7%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Swiss Federal Council by-election winner?
K 0 contractsWill Céline Amaudruz win the 2026 Swiss Federal Council by-election for Guy Parmelin's seat?Yes 21%
Will Natalie Rickli win the 2026 Swiss Federal Council by-election for Guy Parmelin's seat?Yes 15%
Will Pascal Schmid win the 2026 Swiss Federal Council by-election for Guy Parmelin's seat?Yes 12%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Sanae Takaichi be re-elected LDP president in 2027?
K 0 contractsWill Sanae Takaichi win the 2027 Liberal Democratic Party presidential election?Yes 73%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 29, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech

Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?
K 0 contractsWill Sanae Takaichi announce their departure as Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 30%
Will Sanae Takaichi announce their departure as Prime Minister of Japan before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 15%
Will Sanae Takaichi announce their departure as Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 8%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tijuana mayoral election winner?
K 0 contractsWill the candidate of the registered coalition that includes Morena win the 2027 Tijuana mayoral election?Yes 61%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes PAN win the 2027 Tijuana mayoral election?Yes 18%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes MC win the 2027 Tijuana mayoral election?Yes 18%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 5, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

East Timor presidential election winner?
K 0 contractsWill José Ramos-Horta win the 2027 East Timorese presidential election?Yes 22%
Will Rui Maria de Araújo win the 2027 East Timorese presidential election?Yes 18%
Will Francisco Kalbuadi Lay win the 2027 East Timorese presidential election?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 29, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tirana mayoral election winner?
K 0 contractsWill the candidate of the coalition that includes the Socialist Party win the 2027 Tirana mayoral election?Yes 55%
Will the candidate of the coalition that includes the Democratic Party win the 2027 Tirana mayoral election?Yes 31%
Will the candidate of the coalition that includes Lëvizja Bashkë win the 2027 Tirana mayoral election?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline May 9, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US trade deficit for 2027
K 0 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2027 be above $500 billion?Yes 96%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2027 be above $600 billion?Yes 94.5%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2027 be above $700 billion?Yes 65%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 11, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US trade deficit for 2028
K 0 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $700 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US trade deficit for 2029
K 0 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2029 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2029 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2029 be above $700 billion?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 11, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US trade deficit for 2030
K 0 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $700 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 10, 2031 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump do anything on Oct 18, 2026?
K 0 contractsWill Trump do anything on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 50%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
K 0 contractsWill Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 36% during Jan 2025 to Jan 2029 according to VoteHub?Yes 92.5%
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 35% during Jan 2025 to Jan 2029 according to VoteHub?Yes 85%
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 34% during Jan 2025 to Jan 2029 according to VoteHub?Yes 72%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)
K 0 contractsWill Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 74%
Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 56%
Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 54.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump talk to Obama in 2026?
K 0 contractsDonald Trump and Barack Obama meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tucumán Governor winner?
K 0 contractsWill the candidate of the registered alliance that includes the Partido Justicialista win the 2027 Tucumán gubernatorial election?Yes 74%
Will the candidate of the registered alliance that includes La Libertad Avanza win the 2027 Tucumán gubernatorial election?Yes 21%
Will the candidate of the registered alliance that includes the Unión Cívica Radical but not La Libertad Avanza win the 2027 Tucumán gubernatorial election?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline May 9, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Turin mayoral election winner?
K 0 contractsWill the candidate of the registered coalition that includes the Democratic Party (PD) win the 2027 Turin mayoral election?Yes 74%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes Brothers of Italy (FdI) win the 2027 Turin mayoral election?Yes 23%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes the Five Star Movement (M5S) but not PD win the 2027 Turin mayoral election?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 12, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner?
K 0 contractsWill James P. Sullivan win the 2026 Texas Supreme Court Justice, Place 2 (unexpired term) election?Yes 89.5%
Will Chari Kelly win the 2026 Texas Supreme Court Justice, Place 2 (unexpired term) election?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
K 0 contractsWill Brett Busby win the 2026 Texas Supreme Court Justice, Place 8 election?Yes 85%
Will Gisela D. Triana win the 2026 Texas Supreme Court Justice, Place 8 election?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Upper Austria state election winner?
K 0 contractsWill FPÖ win the 2027 Upper Austria state election?Yes 55%
Will ÖVP win the 2027 Upper Austria state election?Yes 42%
Will SPÖ win the 2027 Upper Austria state election?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Sep 25, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will win the next Uttarakhand Assembly election?
K 0 contractsWill BJP win the next Uttarakhand Legislative Assembly election?Yes 73%
Will Congress win the next Uttarakhand Legislative Assembly election?Yes 26%
2 mktsNext deadline Mar 21, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vaduz mayoral election winner?
K 0 contractsWill the FBP candidate win the 2027 Vaduz mayoral election?Yes 86%
Will the VU candidate win the 2027 Vaduz mayoral election?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Mar 13, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections

PP and Vox majority in the Valencian Corts?
K 0 contractsWill the bloc of the People's Party and Vox win at least 50 seats in the next Valencian regional election?Yes 70%
1 mktNext deadline May 22, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Valencia municipal election winner?
K 0 contractsWill PP win the 2027 Valencia municipal election?Yes 76%
Will Compromís win the 2027 Valencia municipal election?Yes 16%
Will PSPV-PSOE win the 2027 Valencia municipal election?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline May 22, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Valladolid municipal election winner?
K 0 contractsWill PP win the 2027 Valladolid municipal election?Yes 67%
Will PSOE win the 2027 Valladolid municipal election?Yes 30%
Will Vox win the 2027 Valladolid municipal election?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline May 22, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Verona mayoral election winner?
K 0 contractsWill the candidate of the registered coalition that includes Brothers of Italy (FdI) win the 2027 Verona mayoral election?Yes 56%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes the Democratic Party (PD) win the 2027 Verona mayoral election?Yes 36%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes Forza Italia (FI) but not FdI win the 2027 Verona mayoral election?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 12, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vilnius mayoral election winner?
K 0 contractsWill Valdas Benkunskas win the 2027 Vilnius mayoral election?Yes 61%
Will Artūras Zuokas win the 2027 Vilnius mayoral election?Yes 20%
Will Vytautas Sinica win the 2027 Vilnius mayoral election?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 6, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many U.S. visas will be revoked in 2026?
K 0 contractsWill the number of visas revoked by the U.S. Department of State be at least 100000 in calendar year 2026?Yes 89%
Will the number of visas revoked by the U.S. Department of State be at least 150000 in calendar year 2026?Yes 79%
Will the number of visas revoked by the U.S. Department of State be at least 200000 in calendar year 2026?Yes 68%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-41 House election: Mitch Clemmons vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Mitch Clemmons receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Mitch Clemmons receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mitch Clemmons receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-47 House election: Dave Min vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Dave Min receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-47 House election?Yes 90%
Will Dave Min receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-47 House election?Yes 79%
Will Dave Min receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-47 House election?Yes 63%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-49 House election: Armen Kurdian vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Armen Kurdian receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?Yes 96%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?Yes 91%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?Yes 80%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-49 House election: Mike Levin vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Mike Levin receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Mike Levin receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?Yes 87%
Will Mike Levin receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?Yes 73%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-09 House election: Josh Harder vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Josh Harder receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-09 House election?Yes 91%
Will Josh Harder receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-09 House election?Yes 80%
Will Josh Harder receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-09 House election?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-09 House election: John McBride vote percent
K 0 contractsWill John McBride receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-09 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will John McBride receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-09 House election?Yes 97%
Will John McBride receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-09 House election?Yes 94%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CO-03 House election: Jeff Hurd vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Jeff Hurd receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jeff Hurd receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 96%
Will Jeff Hurd receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 88%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CO-08 House election: Gabe Evans vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Gabe Evans receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Gabe Evans receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election?Yes 85%
Will Gabe Evans receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-23 House election: Lois Frankel vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Lois Frankel receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-23 House election?Yes 97%
Will Lois Frankel receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-23 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Lois Frankel receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-23 House election?Yes 89%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IA-03 House election: Zach Nunn vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Zach Nunn receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Zach Nunn receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?Yes 96%
Will Zach Nunn receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MI-04 House election: Bill Huizenga vote percent
K 0 contractsWill Bill Huizenga receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-04 House election?Yes 90%
Will Bill Huizenga receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-04 House election?Yes 77%
Will Bill Huizenga receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-04 House election?Yes 58%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC