Politics prediction markets

PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

Related contracts

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 46.5%Rules differK Yes 44.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Polk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent

Will Josh Turek receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Polk County, Iowa?Yes 93%

Will Josh Turek receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Polk County, Iowa?Yes 80%

Will Josh Turek receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Polk County, Iowa?Yes 55%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 17%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 12.3%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 7.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Yes 64.5%

Aguascalientes Congress Election Winner

PM $5.5K

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Yes 14.5%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Yes 6.5%

Iowa Governor election: Rob Sand vote percent

Will Rob Sand receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Rob Sand receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Rob Sand receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 94%

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Yes 23.5%

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

PM $5.4K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

IL-09 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for IL-09?Yes 97.5%

Will Republican win the House race for IL-09?Yes 1.9%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Yes 67%

Mexico City Congress Election Winner

PM $5.4K

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Yes 12.3%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Yes 8%

CA-13 House election: Kevin Lincoln vote percent

Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 96%

Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 91%

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 76.5%

Nayarit Congress Election Winner

PM $5.4K

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 10.5%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 4.6%

SC-02 House election: Joe Wilson vote percent

Will Joe Wilson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 93.5%

Will Joe Wilson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 84%

Will Joe Wilson receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 73.5%

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?View outcomes

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Oklahoma Governor election: Mike Mazzei vote percent

Will Mike Mazzei receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 90%

Will Mike Mazzei receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 75%

Will Mike Mazzei receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 54%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Zelenskyy # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 42.5%

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 27.5%

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 16%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Steve Hilton outperform the polls?

Will Steve Hilton outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 California governor election?Yes 48%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 26.5%

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 23%

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 22.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Broward County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent

Will David Jolly receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Broward County, Florida?Yes 97.5%

Will David Jolly receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Broward County, Florida?Yes 96.5%

Will David Jolly receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Broward County, Florida?Yes 96%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?Yes 45%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%

Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%

Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 37.9%

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 31.5%

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 29.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Minnesota vote to increase school-fund distributions?

Will Constitutional Amendment pass?Yes 90.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?Yes 44.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

OH-04 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for OH-04?Yes 96.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for OH-04?Yes 3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election

Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 54.5%

Will Liberal–National hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 21%

Will Greens hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 8.4%

+5 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC

Texas Governor General Election: voter turnout

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Governor General Election be above 7500000?Yes 93.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Governor General Election be above 8000000?Yes 91%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Governor General Election be above 8400000?Yes 86%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Dauda Lawal win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?Yes 83%

Will Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?Yes 10.7%

Will Ahmed Yahuza win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.2%

+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

MA-03 House election: Lori Trahan vote percent

Will Lori Trahan receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Lori Trahan receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 95%

Will Lori Trahan receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 88%

Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?

Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes 30.5%

Rahul Gandhi arrested by October 31, 2026?Yes 16%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

New Jersey's 8th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?Yes 97%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?Yes 97%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?Yes 97%

Next Premier of New South Wales

Will Chris Minns be the next Premier of New South Wales?Yes 58.5%

Will Kellie Sloane be the next Premier of New South Wales?Yes 17.5%

Will Rose Jackson be the next Premier of New South Wales?Yes 16.9%

+8 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?

PM $5.2K · K 1.6K contracts

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 35.5%Rules differK Yes 36.5%

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Dec 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10%Rules differK Yes 13.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Wyoming Governor election: Eric Barlow vote percent

Will Eric Barlow receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%

Will Eric Barlow receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 93%

Will Eric Barlow receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 85%

Launceston mayoral election winner?

Will Matthew Garwood win the 2026 Launceston mayoral election?Yes 56%

Will Kyle Barrett win the 2026 Launceston mayoral election?Yes 24%

Will Rose Diamond win the 2026 Launceston mayoral election?Yes 5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 92.5%

Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 4.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

MO-08 House election: Jason Smith vote percent

Will Jason Smith receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Jason Smith receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 92%

Will Jason Smith receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 80%

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?Yes 3.6%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

MT-01 House election: Aaron Flint vote percent

Will Aaron Flint receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-01 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Aaron Flint receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-01 House election?Yes 86%

Will Aaron Flint receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-01 House election?Yes 66%

Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 32%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 31%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 21.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Los Angeles L next governor before Jan 1, 2027?

Josh Kushner to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027Yes 56.5%

Bob Iger to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027Yes 10%

Mark Walter to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Jalisco Congress Election Winner

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?Yes 50.5%

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?Yes 22.5%

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?Yes 11%

PM $5.2K · K 5.6K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Ohio Attorney General winner?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Ohio?

Related contracts

PM Yes 68.5%Rules differK Yes 68.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Ohio?

Related contracts

PM Yes 32%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nevada's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 67.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nevada's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 50%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nevada's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 29.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Trump declare a national emergency?

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 53%

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 45.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC