Politics prediction markets
6,946 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 4,321-4,368 of 6,946 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
MI-09 House election: Lisa McClain vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Lisa McClain receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-09 House election?Yes 95%
Will Lisa McClain receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-09 House election?Yes 88%
Will Lisa McClain receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-09 House election?Yes 72%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
PM $2.6KAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Mamdani run for re-election?
K 2.5K contractsWill Zohran Mamdani announce a run for mayor of New York City in 2029?Yes 79%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 6, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
PM $2.6KWill the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?Yes 55.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mecklenburg County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Roy Cooper receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina?Yes 96.5%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina?Yes 84%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition
PM $2.6KCalifornia Affordable Housing Bond PropositionYes 72.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (Final Round)
K 2.5K contractsWill Mary Peltola receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 96%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 95%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
PM $2.5KWill Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas's election as Brooklyn Dem chair?
K 2.5K contractsWill a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas's election as Brooklyn Dem chair?Yes 74%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PM $2.5KWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado Governor election: Victor Marx vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Victor Marx receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Victor Marx receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
Will Victor Marx receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election?Yes 87.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?
PM $2.5KWill Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?Yes 87.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
K 2.5K contractsWill the Senate Majority Leader resign before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Netanyahu drops out before election?
PM $2.5KNetanyahu drops out before election?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-06 House election: JoAnna Mendoza vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill JoAnna Mendoza receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will JoAnna Mendoza receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 96%
Will JoAnna Mendoza receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sonora Congress Election Winner
PM $2.5KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?Yes 64.5%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?Yes 11.5%
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?Yes 9.7%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Senate winner? (2028)
K 2.5K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia?Yes 67.5%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Georgia?Yes 31.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?
PM $2.5KWill Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
K 2.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 54%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 37%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?
PM $2.5KFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?Yes 91.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-24 House election: Salud Carbajal vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Salud Carbajal receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 96%
Will Salud Carbajal receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 93%
Will Salud Carbajal receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 84%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Clinic Funding Proposition
PM $2.4KCalifornia Clinic Funding PropositionYes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?
PM $2.4K · K 6.1K contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
K 2.5K contractsExactly people (1)Yes 51.5%
Exactly people (2)Yes 36%
Exactly people (3)Yes 9%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tainan mayoral election winner?
K 2.5K contractsWill Chen Ting-fei win the 2026 Tainan mayoral election?Yes 92.5%
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the 2026 Tainan mayoral election?Yes 7%
Will Yeh Jen-wen win the 2026 Tainan mayoral election?Yes 2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner
PM $2.4KWill the Democrat win the North Carolina Supreme Court general election?Yes 80.5%
Will the Republican win the North Carolina Supreme Court general election?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California 11 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 11 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 11 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 11 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 87.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
António Guterres out by December 31?
PM $2.4KAntónio Guterres out by December 31?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-03 House election: Robb Tucker vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Robb Tucker receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 91%
Will Robb Tucker receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 80%
Will Robb Tucker receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 64.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska
PM $2.3KWill Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?Yes 32%
Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?Yes 31.5%
Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
K 2.4K contractsWill the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?Yes 39%
Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?Yes 12.5%
Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?
PM $2.3KFirst Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-38 House winner?
K 2.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-38?Yes 97.9%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-38?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PM $2.3KColorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 55.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Michigan Attorney General winner?
PM $2.3K · K 20.6K contractsWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Michigan?
Related contracts
PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 81.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Michigan?
Related contracts
PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 20.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-01 House election: Donald Norcross vote percent
K 2.4K contractsWill Donald Norcross receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-01 House election?Yes 97%
Will Donald Norcross receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-01 House election?Yes 96%
Will Donald Norcross receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-01 House election?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actress
K 2.4K contractsWill Anne Hathaway be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90%
Will Penélope Cruz be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 77%
Will Samantha Morton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?
PM $2.3KFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?Yes 91.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the South Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the South Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the South Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?
PM $2.3KTennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland Governor election: Dan Cox vote percent
K 2.4K contractsWill Dan Cox receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Dan Cox receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Yes 89%
Will Dan Cox receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Dakota passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
PM $2.3KSouth Dakota passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 90.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DoorDash total orders in fiscal 2026
K 2.4K contractsWill DoorDash Inc. report Above 3.75 billion total orders in fiscal 2026?Yes 94%
Will DoorDash Inc. report Above 3.8 billion total orders in fiscal 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will DoorDash Inc. report Above 3.85 billion total orders in fiscal 2026?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
PM $2.3KWill Israel make Eric Adams a citizen?Yes 14.5%
Will China make Eric Adams a citizen?Yes 9%
Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen?Yes 8.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
K 2.4K contractsWill it be reported by President Donald J. Trump or the White House that a person formally serves in a Cabinet-level position within the U.S. federal government whose primary and distinct policy portfolio is artificial intelligence before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 36%
Will it be reported by President Donald J. Trump or the White House that a person formally serves in a Cabinet-level position within the U.S. federal government whose primary and distinct policy portfolio is artificial intelligence before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 26.5%
Will it be reported by President Donald J. Trump or the White House that a person formally serves in a Cabinet-level position within the U.S. federal government whose primary and distinct policy portfolio is artificial intelligence before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner
PM $2.3KWill the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?Yes 39.5%
Will the CPN-UML candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?Yes 32%
Will an independent candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?Yes 28.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Governor election: Dan Ahlers vote percent
K 2.4K contractsWill Dan Ahlers receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 93%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Peggy Flanagan runs behind Amy Klobuchar by...?
PM $2.3KWill Peggy Flanagan run 3 to 6 points behind Amy Klobuchar?Yes 28.5%
Will Peggy Flanagan run 0 to 3 points behind Amy Klobuchar?Yes 26.5%
Will Peggy Flanagan run 6 to 9 points behind Amy Klobuchar?Yes 22%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC