Politics prediction markets
6,946 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 4,417-4,464 of 6,946 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
ID-01 House election: Russ Fulcher vote percent
K 2.4K contractsWill Russ Fulcher receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Russ Fulcher receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-01 House election?Yes 89%
Will Russ Fulcher receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-01 House election?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?
PM $1.8KCanada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2027?Yes 9%
Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-10 House winner?
K 2.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-10?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-10?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?
PM $1.8KUS announces military base in Israel in 2026?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Tiger Woods and Vanessa Trump: Engaged in 2026?
K 2.4K contractsWill Tiger Woods and Vanessa Trump be engaged in 2026?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?
PM $1.8KRussia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal?
K 2.4K contractsWill Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 41%
Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 26%
Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $1.8KWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 39.1%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38.8%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-08 House election: David Kustoff vote percent
K 2.4K contractsWill David Kustoff receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-08 House election?Yes 97%
Will David Kustoff receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will David Kustoff receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-08 House election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina
PM $1.7KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Yes 98.9%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-03 House election: Morgan McGarvey vote percent
K 2.4K contractsWill Morgan McGarvey receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?Yes 91%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?Yes 82%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?
PM $1.7KICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-08 House election: Mark Harris vote percent
K 2.4K contractsWill Mark Harris receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-08 House election?Yes 95%
Will Mark Harris receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-08 House election?Yes 85%
Will Mark Harris receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-08 House election?Yes 67%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
PM $1.7KAlaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 86.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
K 2.4K contractsWill it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 51%
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 51%
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?
PM $1.7KFirst Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?Yes 94.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Georgia Senate: which counties will Jon Ossoff win?
K 2.4K contractsWill Jon Ossoff win Fayette County?Yes 89.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win Baldwin County?Yes 87%
Will Jon Ossoff win Peach County?Yes 72.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?
PM $1.7KCloser Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-17 House election: Cait Conley vote percent
K 2.4K contractsWill Cait Conley receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Cait Conley receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 87%
Will Cait Conley receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 70.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $1.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 5% or more?Yes 39.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 37.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.2%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California 07 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.4K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 07 House General Election be above 128000?Yes 97.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 07 House General Election be above 166000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 07 House General Election be above 193000?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
PM $1.6KMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?
K 2.4K contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Department of Homeland Security in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D.Yes 45.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?
PM $1.6KWill Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?
K 2.4K contractsWill it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 36.5%
Will it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mamdani visits the White House by...?
PM $1.6KMamdani visits the White House by December 31?Yes 48.5%
Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?Yes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-04 House election: Jake Auchincloss vote percent
K 2.3K contractsWill Jake Auchincloss receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jake Auchincloss receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 93%
Will Jake Auchincloss receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
PM $1.6KWill Macron call a referendum by December 31?Yes 9.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-03 House election: Loran Ayles vote percent
K 2.3K contractsWill Loran Ayles receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-03 House election?Yes 89%
Will Loran Ayles receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-03 House election?Yes 75%
Will Loran Ayles receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-03 House election?Yes 56%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PM $1.6KWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-06 House winner?
K 2.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TN-06?Yes 95.3%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-06?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition
PM $1.5KCalifornia Tax Spend Audit PropositionYes 75.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Senate election: Michele Tafoya vote percent
K 2.3K contractsWill Michele Tafoya receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election?Yes 94%
Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
PM $1.5KSPLC found guilty in 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?
PM $1.5K · K 14.6K contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-14 House winner?
K 2.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-14?Yes 95.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-14?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Wisconsin Attorney General winner?
PM $1.5K · K 24.3K contractsWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Wisconsin?
Related contracts
PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 81.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Wisconsin?
Related contracts
PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-03 House election: Michael Stoddard vote percent
K 2.3K contractsWill Michael Stoddard receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 83.5%
Will Michael Stoddard receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 47%
Will Michael Stoddard receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 25%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-01 House election: Thomas Sorensen vote percent
K 2.3K contractsWill Thomas Sorensen receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-01 House election?Yes 5%
Will Thomas Sorensen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-01 House election?Yes 5%
Will Thomas Sorensen receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-01 House election?Yes 5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?
PM $1.5KFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?Yes 96.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent
K 2.3K contractsWill Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Yes 93%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Yes 80%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $1.5KWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-07 House election by 90% or more?Yes 38.8%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-07 House election by 80%-85%?Yes 38.6%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-07 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 38.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 2.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Oregon Senate General Election be above 1700000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oregon Senate General Election be above 1800000?Yes 80.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oregon Senate General Election be above 1930000?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
PM $1.4KNawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Dallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 2.3K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Dallas County, Texas?Yes 93.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Dallas County, Texas?Yes 80%
Will James Talarico receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Dallas County, Texas?Yes 54%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?
PM $1.4KFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?Yes 97%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brazil Federal District Governor winner?
K 2.3K contractsWill Celina Leão win the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election?Yes 98.5%
Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
PM $1.4KAlcatraz reopened in 2026?Yes 14.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC