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Politics prediction markets

6,940 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 4,561-4,608 of 6,940 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 9th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania's 9th District margin of victory

K 2.2K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $467.48
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 37%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Harris County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

Harris County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

K 2.2K contracts
Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Harris County, Texas?Yes 96.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Harris County, Texas?Yes 93.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Harris County, Texas?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?

PM $459.14
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percent

DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percent

K 2.2K contracts
Will Sarah McBride receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 DE-AL House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Sarah McBride receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 DE-AL House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Sarah McBride receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 DE-AL House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-27 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-27 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $440.7
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election by 30% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Governor margin of victory

Michigan Governor margin of victory

K 2.2K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 58.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?

Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?

PM $427.39
Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?Yes 21%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor election: Ryan Fazio vote percent

Connecticut Governor election: Ryan Fazio vote percent

K 2.2K contracts
Will Ryan Fazio receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ryan Fazio receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ryan Fazio receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?

PM $411.67
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?Yes 91%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?

Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?

K 2.2K contracts
Will the US agree to or announce recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-35 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-35 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $387.46
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-35 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-35 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-35 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory

North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory

K 2.2K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 45%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 31%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Panama Canal effectively closed by...?

Panama Canal effectively closed by...?

PM $380.29
Panama Canal effectively closed by December 31?Yes 7.5%
Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?Yes 3.3%
Panama Canal effectively closed by October 31?Yes 1.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?

Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?

K 2.2K contracts
Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal before 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

PM $369.05
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?Yes 74.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

K 2.2K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2033 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

PM $354.77
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

PM $354.14 · K 1.1K contracts

No comparable saved prices

0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?

When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?

K 2.2K contracts
EU long-term budget deal before September 2027?Yes 76%
EU long-term budget deal before July 2027?Yes 57%
EU long-term budget deal before April 2027?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?

Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?

K 2.2K contracts
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 15%
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 7%
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

PM $349.66
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?Yes 28%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon Governor election: Christine Drazan vote percent

Oregon Governor election: Christine Drazan vote percent

K 2.2K contracts
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

PM $344.65
Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 93.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine 02 House General Election: voter turnout

Maine 02 House General Election: voter turnout

K 2.2K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 300000?Yes 71.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?

PM $336.37
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?Yes 80.2%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
South Carolina Governor margin of victory

South Carolina Governor margin of victory

K 2.2K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $335.34
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election by 35% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-01 House election: Barb Regnitz vote percent

IN-01 House election: Barb Regnitz vote percent

K 2.2K contracts
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 86.5%
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?

PM $330.26
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?Yes 93.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?

Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?

K 2.2K contracts
Will the US agree to or announce a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory

VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $328.66
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-11 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 40.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-11 House election?Yes 37.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-11 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent

CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent

K 2.2K contracts
Will Derek Tran receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 96%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 89%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Haiti elections delayed again?

Haiti elections delayed again?

PM $328.49
Haiti elections delayed again?Yes 90.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout

Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout

K 2.2K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?

Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?

PM $304.11
Tom Kean Jr.out as US Rep before term ends?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Thriller be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 49.5%
Will I'm The Problem be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 49.5%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 49%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $302.9
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 41%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 34th District margin of victory

Texas's 34th District margin of victory

K 2.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 53%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?

Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?

PM $293.81
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?Yes 56.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout

New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout

K 2.1K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2100000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2300000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2500000?Yes 76.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $289
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 41%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina's 6th District margin of victory

North Carolina's 6th District margin of victory

K 2.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

PM $281.11
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026

US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026

K 2.1K contracts
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?Yes 96%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-26 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-26 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $280
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election by 30% or more?Yes 43%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 43%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 43%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Governor election: Alan Wilson vote percent

South Carolina Governor election: Alan Wilson vote percent

K 2.1K contracts
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-13 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-13 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $274.34
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 25% or more?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC