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Politics prediction markets

6,940 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 4,609-4,656 of 6,940 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
Taichung mayoral election winner?

Taichung mayoral election winner?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Chiang Chi-chen win the 2026 Taichung mayoral election?Yes 79.5%
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the 2026 Taichung mayoral election?Yes 22%
Will Hong Li-hua win the 2026 Taichung mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $271
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Governor General Election: voter turnout

Florida Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 2.1K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 6900000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 7300000?Yes 76.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 7700000?Yes 64%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?

Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?

PM $256.55
Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 16th District margin of victory

New York's 16th District margin of victory

K 2.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 93.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?Yes 89.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $251.72
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 12th District margin of victory

Illinois's 12th District margin of victory

K 2.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 96.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 48%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

PM $237.96
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?

Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?

K 2.1K contracts
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2034?Yes 30%
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032?Yes 20%
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030?Yes 8.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

PM $234.2
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?Yes 97.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Governor General Election: voter turnout

Michigan Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 2.1K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 3800000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 4000000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 4200000?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $219.31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 0%-10%?Yes 38%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-09 House election: Bill Keating vote percent

MA-09 House election: Bill Keating vote percent

K 2.1K contracts
Will Bill Keating receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 98%
Will Bill Keating receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bill Keating receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-23 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-23 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $204.1
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 41%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-09 House election: Brent Taylor vote percent

TN-09 House election: Brent Taylor vote percent

K 2.1K contracts
Will Brent Taylor receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 95%
Will Brent Taylor receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 86%
Will Brent Taylor receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 64%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?

PM $201.95
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?Yes 2.8%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-06 House election: Johnny Garrett vote percent

TN-06 House election: Johnny Garrett vote percent

K 2.1K contracts
Will Johnny Garrett receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 88%
Will Johnny Garrett receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 73.5%
Will Johnny Garrett receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 54%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?

PM $200.49
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?Yes 78%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 28th District margin of victory

Florida's 28th District margin of victory

K 2.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 92.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Palestinian elections delayed again?

Palestinian elections delayed again?

PM $198.23
Palestinian elections delayed again?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory

K 2.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 68%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 34.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $195.8
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 40%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 40% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine's 1st District margin of victory

Maine's 1st District margin of victory

K 2.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-15 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-15 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $193.86
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 65% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-04 House election: Jim Baird vote percent

IN-04 House election: Jim Baird vote percent

K 2.1K contracts
Will Jim Baird receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jim Baird receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jim Baird receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?

Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?

PM $181.06
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-05 House winner?

KY-05 House winner?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for KY-05?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-05?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?

Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?

PM $175.56
Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brendan Carr departure announced?

Brendan Carr departure announced?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Brendan Carr leave chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Khamenei # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

Khamenei # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

PM $175.14
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 83%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 9.7%
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 9.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia Senate margin of victory

Virginia Senate margin of victory

K 2.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 94.3%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?

PM $172.3
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?Yes 1.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?

Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count be at least 218 before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027?Yes 46%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $171.51
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 25% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 5% or more?Yes 38.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Senate winner? (2028)

New York Senate winner? (2028)

K 2.1K contracts
Will Democratics win the Senate race in New York?Yes 95%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in New York?Yes 6.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-39 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-39 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $165.74
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 39%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-04 House winner?

OR-04 House winner?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for OR-04?Yes 95%
Will Republican win the House race for OR-04?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $165.6
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 25% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-43 House winner?

CA-43 House winner?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-43?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-43?Yes 2.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

PM $165.56
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Mamdani visit the White House?

When will Mamdani visit the White House?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 43.5%
Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25%
Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: California or New York?

Closer Governor Race: California or New York?

PM $163
Closer Governor Race: California or New York?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again?

Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Donald Trump visit the U.S. Capitol before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will Donald Trump visit the U.S. Capitol before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $161
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 25% or more?Yes 39%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-23 House election: Nick Langworthy vote percent

NY-23 House election: Nick Langworthy vote percent

K 2.1K contracts
Will Nick Langworthy receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Nick Langworthy receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Nick Langworthy receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?Yes 84.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $141.09
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 65% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-01 House winner?

TN-01 House winner?

K 2.1K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TN-01?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-01?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?

Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?

PM $130
Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC