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Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% by Oct 30, 2026?

Yes 8.5%

Vol3.9K contracts

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 8.5%

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Event

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MarketKALSHIactiveEconomics

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% by Oct 30, 2026?

Part of: How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

YesYes Price

8.5¢

VolTotal Volume

3.9K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 1, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% by Oct 30, 2026?

Yes

8.5¢

Vol

3.9K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes8.5¢

No91.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 8.5%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% by Oct 30, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.37% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.

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Resolution Info