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Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.90% in Oct 2026?

Yes 73.0%

Vol310 contracts

SnapshotOct 16, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 73.0%

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Event

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Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.90% in Oct 2026?

Part of: How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

YesYes Price

73.0¢

VolTotal Volume

310 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 31, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.90% in Oct 2026?

Yes

73.0¢

Vol

310 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes73.0¢

No27.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 73.0%. Snapshot Oct 16, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.90% in Oct 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 31, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.90% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

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Resolution Info