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Will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes 66.5%

Vol62 contracts

SnapshotOct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

Yes 66.5%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2028?

Part of: When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?

YesYes Price

66.5¢

VolTotal Volume

62 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes

66.5¢

Vol

62 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes66.5¢

No33.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 66.5%. Snapshot Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2028? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If federal legislation requiring AI biosecurity controls has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying federal law must require evaluations or safeguards for AI models or systems that specifically address biological misuse or harm. Mandatory biosecurity testing or evaluations qualify, as do controls on access, capabilities, security, deployment, or procurement tied to biological risk. The requirement may be part of a broader AI law or apply only to a defined sector or federal procurement. Studies, voluntary standards, funding, and gene-synthesis, laboratory, or biological-data rules without an operative AI-model or system requirement do not qualify. General AI or cybersecurity requirements and incident reporting alone are insufficient without the defined biosecurity evaluation or safeguard. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is Section 1654 of S. 4784, the Senate FY2027 defense authorization bill. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Resolution Info