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Will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes 45.5%

Vol75.18 contracts

SnapshotOct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

Yes 45.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law before Jan 1, 2028?

Part of: When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?

YesYes Price

45.5¢

VolTotal Volume

75.18 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes

45.5¢

Vol

75.18 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes45.5¢

No54.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 45.5%. Snapshot Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law before Jan 1, 2028? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If legislation requiring AI kill switches has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying federal law must require a technical capability to halt or disable an AI model or system when needed to address safety or security risks or loss of control. This may be implemented through shutdown, suspension, or cutting off the resources or access the system needs to operate. Control may remain with the company; government authority to activate it is not required. A general power to ban AI development or deployment does not qualify without a required technical shutdown capability. The capability need not be activated before the deadline. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is the AI Kill Switch Act (H.R. 9917). Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Resolution Info