BackKKALSHI

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 12, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)

Yes 35.0%

Vol352.83 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 35.0%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveClimate

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 12, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)

Part of: What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 12, 2026?

YesYes Price

35.0¢

VolTotal Volume

352.83 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 12, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)

Yes

35.0¢

Vol

352.83 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes35.0¢

No65.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 35.0%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 12, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8) · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 12, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Read this contract on Kalshi

Resolution Info