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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 21, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)

Yes 75.0%

Vol330.53 contracts

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 75.0%

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Event

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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 21, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)

Part of: What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 21, 2026?

YesYes Price

75.0¢

VolTotal Volume

330.53 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 21, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)

Yes

75.0¢

Vol

330.53 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes75.0¢

No25.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 75.0%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 21, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4) · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

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Resolution Info