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Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Jan 10, 2027?

Yes 59.5%

Vol254.76 contracts

SnapshotOct 16, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Yes 59.5%

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Event

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Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Jan 10, 2027?

Part of: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?

YesYes Price

59.5¢

VolTotal Volume

254.76 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 24, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Jan 10, 2027?

Yes

59.5¢

Vol

254.76 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes59.5¢

No40.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 59.5%. Snapshot Oct 16, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Jan 10, 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 24, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Jair Bolsonaro receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority before Jan 10, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A pardon, commutation or amnesty granted by a competent Brazilian authority counts, including a decree or law that covers him without naming him, even if a court later suspends or annuls it. A court ruling that overturns or reduces his conviction or sentence, a law that only reduces penalties or changes sentence-progression rules for a class of convicts, and a change of custody such as house arrest do not count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the pardon is officially granted or announced.

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Resolution Info