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Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Yes 4.3%

Vol294.4K contracts

SnapshotNov 6, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 4.3%

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Event

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MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Part of: Closest Senate Race?

YesYes Price

4.3¢

VolTotal Volume

294.4K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 10, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Yes

4.3¢

Vol

294.4K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes4.3¢

No95.8¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 4.3%. Snapshot Nov 6, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 10, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Alaska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used. If no candidate wins a majority in Georgia and a runoff is held, the margin from the December 1, 2026 runoff is used. If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if all elections have been decided and margins calculated.

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Resolution Info