BackKKALSHI

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes 79.5%

Vol41.5K contracts

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 79.5%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveCrypto

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?

Part of: When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

YesYes Price

79.5¢

VolTotal Volume

41.5K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes

79.5¢

Vol

41.5K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes79.5¢

No20.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 79.5%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity. This market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced. A statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the company makes the specified announcement.

Read this contract on Kalshi

Resolution Info