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Will Elise Stefanik be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Yes 2.5%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 2.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Elise Stefanik be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Part of: Who will be the first Republican listed to announce a presidential run?

YesYes Price

2.5¢

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0 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 14, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will Elise Stefanik be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Yes

2.5¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes2.5¢

No97.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 2.5%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Elise Stefanik be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 14, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Elise Stefanik is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added. A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a qualifying declaration of candidacy occurs.

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Resolution Info