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Will the Reform Party win the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?

Yes 7.0%

Vol25 contracts

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 7.0%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the Reform Party win the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?

Part of: Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

YesYes Price

7.0¢

VolTotal Volume

25 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Mar 6, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will the Reform Party win the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?

Yes

7.0¢

Vol

25 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes7.0¢

No93.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 7.0%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the Reform Party win the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Mar 6, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the Reform Party wins the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. Seats are counted as awarded by the National Electoral Committee in the 101-seat Riigikogu, including personal, district and compensation mandates. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

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Resolution Info