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Will Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes 8.5%

Vol14.2K contracts

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Yes 8.5%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveWorld

Will Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027?

Part of: Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

YesYes Price

8.5¢

VolTotal Volume

14.2K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes

8.5¢

Vol

14.2K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes8.5¢

No91.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 8.5%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

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Resolution Info