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Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 6% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Yes 54.0%

Vol121.61 contracts

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 54.0%

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Event

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Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 6% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Part of: Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold

YesYes Price

54.0¢

VolTotal Volume

121.61 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Feb 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 6% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Yes

54.0¢

Vol

121.61 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes54.0¢

No46.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 54.0%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 6% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Feb 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 6% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the combined percentage of valid votes cast for all lists that fail the 3.25% electoral threshold in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election (the lists allocated no seats), calculated as 100 × (the sum of the votes received by those lists ÷ total valid votes) using the per-list vote totals and total valid votes in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results, rounded to two decimal places. Whether a list passes the threshold is decided on unrounded vote totals: a list whose unrounded share is 3.25% or more is not counted, and only the combined value is rounded. A joint list counts as one list. A list that has withdrawn from the race but remains on the ballot is counted if the results record votes for it. Preliminary results do not qualify. Invalid ballots are excluded from the numerator and the denominator. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.

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Resolution Info