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Will Israel form a majority government?

Yes 35.0%

Vol389.53 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 35.0%

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Event

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Will Israel form a majority government?

Part of: What kind of government will Israel form?

YesYes Price

35.0¢

VolTotal Volume

389.53 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 26, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will Israel form a majority government?

Yes

35.0¢

Vol

389.53 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes35.0¢

No65.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 35.0%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Israel form a majority government? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 26, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the number of Knesset seats held by the factions in Israel's next government is at least 61 when the Knesset approves it before Oct 28, 2027 (0 if it does not), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Israel's next government is the first one the Knesset elected on Oct 27, 2026 approves in a vote of confidence. A faction counts if it is part of that government's coalition: it signed a coalition agreement to join the government that was submitted to the Knesset before the vote, or one of its members is a minister when the Knesset approves the government or is appointed a deputy minister within 30 days after the vote. Factions that only support the government from outside the coalition or abstain do not count, including under a written support agreement. Seats are each faction's size in the Knesset on the day of the vote; later changes do not count. A majority government holds at least 61 of the 120 seats, and a minority government holds 1 to 60 ("between" includes both 1 and 60). If that Knesset dissolves before approving a government, or none is approved before Oct 28, 2027, the number of seats is 0 and only No government resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when its outcome is determined.

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Resolution Info