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Will Hakeem Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot at the opening of the 120th Congress?

Yes 93.5%

Vol86.1K contracts

SnapshotNov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 93.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Hakeem Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot at the opening of the 120th Congress?

Part of: 120th Congress: Will Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot?

YesYes Price

93.5¢

VolTotal Volume

86.1K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

May 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Hakeem Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot at the opening of the 120th Congress?

Yes

93.5¢

Vol

86.1K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes93.5¢

No6.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 93.5%. Snapshot Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Hakeem Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot at the opening of the 120th Congress? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: May 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Hakeem Jeffries is elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives on the first ballot of the Speaker election at the opening of the 120th Congress before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The first ballot is the first roll-call vote for Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress. The count is 1 if Hakeem Jeffries is declared elected Speaker on it, which requires a majority of the votes cast for a person by name, and 0 otherwise, including if no roll-call vote for Speaker is held before Feb 1, 2027. The following do NOT count: A later ballot on which Hakeem Jeffries is elected A first ballot on which no candidate receives a majority, even if Hakeem Jeffries receives the most votes The result is determined from the roll call record of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the first roll-call vote for Speaker occurs.

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Resolution Info