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Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2027?

Yes 28.5%

Vol1.0K contracts

SnapshotNov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 28.5%

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Event

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Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2027?

Part of: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?

YesYes Price

28.5¢

VolTotal Volume

1.0K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jul 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2027?

Yes

28.5¢

Vol

1.0K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes28.5¢

No71.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 28.5%. Snapshot Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jul 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the person announces departure or actually leaves office.

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Resolution Info