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Will Shas win above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes 44.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotOct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Yes 44.0%

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Event

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Will Shas win above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Part of: Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win?

YesYes Price

44.0¢

VolTotal Volume

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Ends

Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Shas win above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes

44.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

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Yes44.0¢

No56.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 44.0%. Snapshot Oct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Shas win above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Shas has won above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Shas runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. Shas refers to the party led by Aryeh Deri at issuance. A name change alone does not change its identity. If neither Shas nor a qualifying joint list or merged successor contests the election, its seat count is zero. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if all seats have been called and additional recounts/by-elections will not affect the market outcome.

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Resolution Info