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Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff before Jan 21, 2029?

Yes 78.5%

Vol559.14 contracts

SnapshotNov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 78.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff before Jan 21, 2029?

Part of: Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?

YesYes Price

78.5¢

VolTotal Volume

559.14 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 21, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff before Jan 21, 2029?

Yes

78.5¢

Vol

559.14 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes78.5¢

No21.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 78.5%. Snapshot Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff before Jan 21, 2029? · Yes

No historical data available

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 21, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if, during Trump's current Presidential term and before the deadline date, a single presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve names at least 25 Trump administration staff or covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area. Trump administration staff refers to officials and employees of the executive branch (the Executive Office of the President, the executive departments, federal agencies, and the armed forces) who served at any time after Jan 20, 2025. Contractors and other non-employees are not Trump administration staff. A pardon covers staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area if it applies to everyone who held a role, worked at an agency, or worked on a policy, without naming each of them. The group must be defined by executive branch service. A single pardon is one proclamation, executive order, or warrant of clemency. A pardon counts even if no recipient has been charged with a crime, and even if a recipient rejects it. Examples: One proclamation pardoning all officers and employees of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement → resolves to Yes One proclamation pardoning all federal personnel for conduct relating to immigration enforcement → resolves to Yes One warrant naming 30 White House aides → resolves to Yes 40 separate warrants issued on the same day, each naming one aide → resolves to No The following do NOT count: Separate pardons that each name fewer than 25 staff, even if together they name more Pardons defined only by an offense or event and open to people regardless of executive branch service, unless the pardon names at least 25 Trump administration staff Pardons that cover only people whose executive branch service ended before Jan 20, 2025 State pardons Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Resolution Info