The New York TimesJul 12, 2024
Elon Musk’s Plan to Put a Million Earthlings on Mars in 20 Years (Published 2024)
Elon Musk’s Plan to Put a Million Earthlings on Mars in 20 Years (Published 2024) The New York Times
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Market Performance
activeOther
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Total Volume
$1.34K
Liquidity
$3.12M
End Date
Jan 08, 2050
Current Odds
Before 2050
17.0%
Volume
$671.00
Before 2050
83.0%
Volume
$671.00
Price History
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Demo data - Connect API for real historical prices
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 08, 2050
3:00 PM GMT+0
Resolution Criteria
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
AI-Generated Analysis
Last updated: Nov 22, 2025 14:07
This market concerns Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?. Current market sentiment suggests Before 2050 is less likely with a 17.0% probability.
Key Factors
- Market sentiment and trader behavior
- Recent news and developments
- Historical patterns in similar events
- Expert opinions and analysis
Historical Context
Markets in the Other category have shown varied results historically. This specific event has 1,342 in trading volume.
Related Events
- Similar events in this category
- Connected political/economic developments
- Related prediction markets
AI-generated information for research purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions.
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Discussion
Sarah Chen•2 hours ago
Really interesting market dynamics here. The recent polling data suggests a shift in sentiment that could significantly impact these odds.
12
Mike Johnson•1 hour ago
Agreed! I noticed the same trend. Do you have sources for that polling data?
3
Alex Rivera•5 hours ago
The liquidity on this market is surprisingly high. Good for getting fills without slippage.
8
Emma Davis•1 day ago
Anyone else think the YES side is undervalued right now? The fundamentals seem strong.
15
📊 Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
8813 Days Left
January 08, 2050 • 3:00 PM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago
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