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Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

Yes 1.4%

Vol$1.3K

SnapshotOct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

Yes 1.4%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

Part of: Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

YesYes Price

1.4¢

VolTotal Volume

$1.3K

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 1, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

Yes

1.4¢

Vol

$1.3K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes1.4¢

No98.6¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 1.4%. Snapshot Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

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Resolution Info