BackPPOLYMARKET

Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

Yes14%-1.0%

Vol$2.68K

Outcomes2

14%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

Part of: Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

NoNo Price

86¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$2.68K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

in 3 months

Trade on Polymarket

Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

No

86¢

|

Vol

$2.68K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes14.5¢

No85.5¢

Price History

Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

80 Days Left

January 01, 2027 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2027

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is publicly confirmed that the “Taraia Object,” or any other object, is wreckage or a component of the Lockheed Electra 10E that disappeared with Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan on July 2, 1937, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolving this market, "confirmed" means an official public announcement by the research team, institution, or government body involved in the investigation or its authorized representative, definitively confirming the identity of the object as wreckage or a component of that specific aircraft, based on physical inspection, imaging, or recovered material evidence. The evidence must support identification as Earhart’s specific aircraft; resemblance to an aircraft or identification as a Lockheed Electra alone is insufficient. Independent corroboration is not required. Confirmation of an individual component qualifies; locating or recovering the complete aircraft is not required. Resolution turns on the date of the public confirmation, regardless of when the object was located or inspected. Simply locating or investigating an object, or preliminary statements that it is merely "consistent with" or "could be" Earhart's plane, will not qualify as "confirmed". The primary resolution sources will be official announcements by the research team, institution, or government body involved in the investigation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to establish that a qualifying confirmation was publicly issued. Reporting that merely repeats tentative or speculative claims will not qualify.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.