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Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Yes 14.0%

Vol$32.24

SnapshotOct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

Yes 14.0%

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Event

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Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Part of: What will the biggest earthquake be on October 15, 2026?

YesYes Price

14.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$32.24

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Yes

14.0¢

Vol

$32.24

Outcomes

Trade

Yes14.0¢

No86.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 14.0%. Snapshot Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be 6.1 or more? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 15, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog. Brackets: Under 5.3 / 5.3 to 5.4 / 5.5 to 5.6 / 5.7 to 5.8 / 5.9 to 6.0 / 6.1 or more. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes". The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 15, 2026. An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time. Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column. If USGS revises a magnitude after initial publication, the revision governs provided it is published before 2:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. A value first published after that time is not considered. If the reported magnitude carries more than one decimal place, it is rounded to the nearest tenth using standard rounding conventions (0.05 rounds up). Brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints. If no earthquake data for October 15, 2026 has been published by 2:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026, this market will resolve to the "Under 5.3" bracket. The resolution source for this market is the USGS Earthquake Catalog, maintained by the United States Geological Survey, at https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/.

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Resolution Info