BackPPOLYMARKET

Will the biggest earthquake on November 2, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Yes 50.0%

Vol$0

SnapshotNov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 50.0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveClimate

Will the biggest earthquake on November 2, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Part of: What will the biggest earthquake be on November 2, 2026?

YesYes Price

50.0¢

VolTotal Volume

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will the biggest earthquake on November 2, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Yes

50.0¢

Vol

Outcomes

Trade

Yes50.0¢

No50.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 50.0%. Snapshot Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the biggest earthquake on November 2, 2026 be 6.1 or more? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on November 2, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog. Brackets: Under 5.3 / 5.3 to 5.4 / 5.5 to 5.6 / 5.7 to 5.8 / 5.9 to 6.0 / 6.1 or more. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes". The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on November 2, 2026. An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time. Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column. If USGS revises a magnitude after initial publication, the revision governs provided it is published before 2:00 PM ET on November 3, 2026. A value first published after that time is not considered. If the reported magnitude carries more than one decimal place, it is rounded to the nearest tenth using standard rounding conventions (0.05 rounds up). Brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints. If no earthquake data for November 2, 2026 has been published by 2:00 PM ET on November 3, 2026, this market will resolve to the "Under 5.3" bracket. The resolution source for this market is the USGS Earthquake Catalog, maintained by the United States Geological Survey, at https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/.

Read this contract on Polymarket

Resolution Info