Yes22%
Vol$55.38
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Part of: Fed rate hike by...?NoNo Price
79¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$55.38
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 9, 2026
in 8 monthsFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
No
79¢
|
Vol
$55.38
|
Outcomes
2
Yes21.5¢
No78.5¢
Price History
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 09, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
235 Days Left
December 09, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago