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Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?

Yes 9.4%

Vol$60.6K

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 9.4%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?

Part of: Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

YesYes Price

9.4¢

VolTotal Volume

$60.6K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?

Yes

9.4¢

Vol

$60.6K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes9.4¢

No90.6¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 9.4%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Greek and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Missiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Resolution Info