PPOLYMARKET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Yes0%-2.3%

Vol$1.12M

Outcomes2

0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETclosed

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

MarketPOLYMARKETclosedPolitics

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$1.12M

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

May 31, 2026

4 months ago

Trade on Polymarket

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$1.12M

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Past Due

May 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Closed

Expected Resolution

May 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to allow unrestricted commercial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iran allowing unrestricted commercial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz refers to a public agreement by Iran that commercial vessels may transit the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian authorization/permission, payment of fees to Iran, or other Iran-imposed restrictions. A public agreement that all restrictions imposed on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz by Iran as part of the US-Iran conflict which began on February 28, 2026, will be definitively lifted, without replacement by new restrictions, will qualify. A qualifying agreement must clearly indicate that Iran will not impose restrictions on commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz. General statements about the strait being “open”, de-escalation, security, increased transit in the Strait, or stability in the region, which do not clearly indicate that Iran will allow unrestricted commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz, will not qualify. An official pledge by Iran to allow unrestricted commercial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to allow unrestricted commercial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.