BackPPOLYMARKET

Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by less than 1%?

Yes 22.5%

Vol$0

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 22.5%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by less than 1%?

Part of: Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

YesYes Price

22.5¢

VolTotal Volume

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by less than 1%?

Yes

22.5¢

Vol

Outcomes

Trade

Yes22.5¢

No77.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 22.5%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by less than 1%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Read this contract on Polymarket

Resolution Info