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Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes92%-0.5%

Vol$599.74

Outcomes2

92%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?

Part of: Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

YesYes Price

92¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$599.74

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Dec 31, 2026

in 3 months

Trade on Polymarket

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes

92¢

|

Vol

$599.74

|

Outcomes

2

Yes92.0¢

No8.0¢

Price History

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

80 Days Left

December 31, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

December 31, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.