PPOLYMARKET

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Yes97%-0.1%

Vol$16.38K

Outcomes2

97%

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Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

NothingNothing Price

97¢

VolTotal Volume

$16.38K

Outcomes

Ends

Dec 31, 2026

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing

97¢

Vol

$16.38K

Outcomes

Trade

Nothing96.8¢

Something3.2¢

Price History

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

December 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Learn more

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. 1. Satoshi moves any Bitcoin This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame. The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources. 2. Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi This market will resolve to "Something" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public during this market's above-specified time frame. Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Jeffrey Epstein was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

122 Days Left

December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago