Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is officially announced that Universal Music Group will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or any affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying acquisition must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Universal Music Group by Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or an affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
Any merger between Universal Music Group and Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or an affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle will qualify.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Universal Music Group, Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or any affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition or merger is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Universal Music Group, Pershing Square, and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
