Yes6%
Vol$71.08
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Part of: Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?NoNo Price
94¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$71.08
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Apr 17, 2026
less than a minute agoQuantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
No
94¢
|
Vol
$71.08
|
Outcomes
2
Yes6.0¢
No94.0¢
Price History
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
April 17, 2026
2:26 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title, a quantum computer is demonstrated to have recovered the private key from a Bitcoin address using a quantum algorithm. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The demonstration must be publicly documented and verified. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
Resolves Today
April 17, 2026 • 2:26 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago