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Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028?

Yes 16.0%

Vol$44.65

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

Yes 16.0%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028?

Part of: Social Security Insolvent by...?

YesYes Price

16.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$44.65

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2029, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028?

Yes

16.0¢

Vol

$44.65

Outcomes

Trade

Yes16.0¢

No84.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 16.0%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2029, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify. A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur. The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution Info