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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Yes75%+4.3%

Vol$13.24K

Outcomes2

75%

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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Part of: SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceXSpaceX Price

75¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$13.24K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2028

in about 1 year

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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX

75¢

|

Vol

$13.24K

|

Outcomes

2

SpaceX75.1¢

OpenAI24.9¢

Price History

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

443 Days Left

January 01, 2028 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2028

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day. This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day. This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.