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Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30, 2026?

Yes 31.2%

Vol$344.62

SnapshotOct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 31.2%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30, 2026?

Part of: Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 30?

YesYes Price

31.2¢

VolTotal Volume

$344.62

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 31, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30, 2026?

Yes

31.2¢

Vol

$344.62

Outcomes

Trade

Yes31.2¢

No68.8¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 31.2%. Snapshot Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 31, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's approval rating according to RealClearPolling is equal to or higher than the listed value at 5:00 PM ET on October 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources. If the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Resolution Info