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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 5.1%

Vol$173.4K

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 5.1%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveWorld

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?

Part of: Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...?

YesYes Price

5.1¢

VolTotal Volume

$173.4K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?

Yes

5.1¢

Vol

$173.4K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes5.1¢

No94.9¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 5.1%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify). An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.

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Resolution Info