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US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2027?

Yes 48.0%

Vol$0

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 48.0%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2027?

Part of: US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by...?

YesYes Price

48.0¢

VolTotal Volume

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2028, 4:59 AM UTC

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US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2027?

Yes

48.0¢

Vol

Outcomes

Trade

Yes48.0¢

No52.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 48.0%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2028, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.

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Resolution Info