BackPPOLYMARKET

Will Amazon’s market capitalization be at least $4.50T at the end of 2026?

Yes6%+0.5%

Vol$259.45

Outcomes2

6%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Amazon’s market capitalization be at least $4.50T at the end of 2026?

Part of: Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

NoNo Price

95¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$259.45

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Dec 31, 2026

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Amazon’s market capitalization be at least $4.50T at the end of 2026?

No

95¢

|

Vol

$259.45

|

Outcomes

2

Yes5.5¢

No94.5¢

Price History

Will Amazon’s market capitalization be at least $4.50T at the end of 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

116 Days Left

December 31, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

December 31, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.