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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 52.5%

Vol$418.7K

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 52.5%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Part of: Best LLM at the end of the decade?

YesYes Price

52.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$418.7K

Outcomes

Ends

Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes

52.5¢

Vol

$418.7K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes52.5¢

No47.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 52.5%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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Resolution Info