Yes11%+0.5%
Vol$95.69K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Part of: Will any country leave NATO by...?NoNo Price
89¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$95.69K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 9 monthsWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
No
89¢
|
Vol
$95.69K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes11.0¢
No89.0¢
Price History
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2026
12:00 PM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
259 Days Left
December 31, 2026 • 12:00 PM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago