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Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by at least 8%?

Yes 12.0%

Vol$34.73

SnapshotOct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Yes 12.0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by at least 8%?

Part of: Toronto Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

YesYes Price

12.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$34.73

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by at least 8%?

Yes

12.0¢

Vol

$34.73

Outcomes

Trade

Yes12.0¢

No88.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 12.0%. Snapshot Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by at least 8%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026, to elect the mayor of Toronto, Ontario. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the October 26, 2026 election for Mayor of Toronto. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City of Toronto. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Resolution Info