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Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in October?

Yes 0.7%

Vol$223.1

SnapshotOct 16, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Yes 0.7%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in October?

Part of: Core CPI YoY - October 2026

YesYes Price

0.7¢

VolTotal Volume

$223.1

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 11, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in October?

Yes

0.7¢

Vol

$223.1

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.7¢

No99.3¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 0.7%. Snapshot Oct 16, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in October? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 11, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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Resolution Info