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Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 43.0%

Vol$86.6

SnapshotOct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 43.0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?

Part of: How many Mexico border seats will Dems win in the house?

YesYes Price

43.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$86.6

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes

43.0¢

Vol

$86.6

Outcomes

Trade

Yes43.0¢

No57.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 43.0%. Snapshot Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the number of the ten US House of Representatives districts listed below that are won by the Democratic Party in the 2026 United States midterm election. The ten districts are Arizona's 6th and 7th Districts, California's 25th and 52nd Districts, New Mexico's 2nd District, and Texas's 15th, 16th, 23rd, 28th, and 34th Districts. All elections for those districts held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. A district counts toward the Democratic total if the winning candidate is the nominee of the Democratic Party or has a ballot-listed affiliation with the Democratic Party. A win by any other candidate does not count toward the Democratic total. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Resolution Info